Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.217958 0.251753 0.288867 0.332623 0.382779 0.438451 0.504916
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.171598 0.217155 0.271683 0.341656 0.428975 0.534258 0.670771
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.139103 0.191393 0.259098 0.352938 0.479394 0.643649 0.872979
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.110465 0.164350 0.239418 0.351176 0.512850 0.737714 1.073669
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.088729 0.142015 0.221490 0.347929 0.543235 0.832517 1.292407
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.072656 0.124512 0.206929 0.346388 0.575279 0.934540 1.539212
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.060725 0.110939 0.195629 0.347405 0.610924 1.047295 1.821383
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.052444 0.101714 0.189543 0.355572 0.659257 1.187623 2.171371
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.044342 0.091054 0.178830 0.353386 0.688808 1.300253 2.491722
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.039037 0.084562 0.174425 0.361777 0.738658 1.455994 2.913863
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.033272 0.075909 0.164175 0.356779 0.761676 1.564925 3.264474
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.029442 0.070532 0.159490 0.362082 0.805890 1.721009 3.731202
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.024878 0.062654 0.148263 0.351904 0.817087 1.814569 4.090335
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.022582 0.059592 0.147122 0.363946 0.878871 2.023770 4.728997
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020668 0.057058 0.146733 0.377701 0.947044 2.257605 5.459628
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018205 0.052573 0.140799 0.377010 0.981186 2.420431 6.054912
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016003 0.048289 0.134543 0.374334 1.010038 2.575466 6.656723
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014181 0.044656 0.129271 0.373223 1.042678 2.744663 7.319946
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012704 0.041691 0.125232 0.374686 1.082361 2.937477 8.072988
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011672 0.039845 0.123978 0.383730 1.144241 3.196585 9.038158
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010408 0.036967 0.119158 0.381549 1.174405 3.376916 9.821868
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009617 0.035462 0.118181 0.390707 1.238960 3.660251 10.931486
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008543 0.032731 0.112848 0.385402 1.259664 3.824881 11.733202